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METHODS: Weekly rainfall, temperature and number of hospital visits for non-cholera diarrhoea were analysed by time-series regression. A Poisson regression model was used to model the relationships controlling for seasonally varying factors other than the weather variables. Modifications of weather effects were investigated by fitting the models separately to incidence series according to their characteristics (sex, age, socio-economic, hygiene and sanitation status). RESULTS: The number of non-cholera diarrhoea cases per week increased by 5.1% (95% CI: 3.3-6.8) for every 10 mm increase above the threshold of 52 mm of average rainfall over lags 0-8 weeks. The number of cases also increased by 3.9% (95% CI: 0.6-7.2) for every 10 mm decrease below the same threshold of rainfall. Ambient temperature was also positively associated with the number of non-cholera diarrhoea cases. 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Association between climate variability and hospital visits for non-cholera diarrhoea in Bangladesh: effects and vulnerable groups.
http://hdl.handle.net/10069/21411
http://hdl.handle.net/10069/21411f44b13d1-9b42-4c0c-b6eb-4006b0d4c04f
名前 / ファイル | ライセンス | アクション |
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IJE36_1030.pdf (259.0 kB)
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Item type | 学術雑誌論文 / Journal Article(1) | |||||
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公開日 | 2009-04-03 | |||||
タイトル | ||||||
タイトル | Association between climate variability and hospital visits for non-cholera diarrhoea in Bangladesh: effects and vulnerable groups. | |||||
言語 | ||||||
言語 | eng | |||||
キーワード | ||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||
主題 | Bangladesh | |||||
キーワード | ||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||
主題 | diarrhoea | |||||
キーワード | ||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||
主題 | non-cholera | |||||
キーワード | ||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||
主題 | rainfall | |||||
キーワード | ||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||
主題 | season | |||||
キーワード | ||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||
主題 | temperature | |||||
キーワード | ||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||
主題 | timeseries | |||||
キーワード | ||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||
主題 | weather | |||||
資源タイプ | ||||||
資源タイプ識別子 | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 | |||||
資源タイプ | journal article | |||||
著者 |
Hashizume, Masahiro
× Hashizume, Masahiro× Armstrong, Ben× Hajat, Shakoor× Wagatsuma, Yukiko× Faruque, Abu S G× Hayashi, Taiichi× Sack, David A |
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抄録 | ||||||
内容記述タイプ | Abstract | |||||
内容記述 | BACKGROUND: We estimated the effects of rainfall and temperature on the number of non-cholera diarrhoea cases and identified population factors potentially affecting vulnerability to the effect of the climate factors in Dhaka, Bangladesh. METHODS: Weekly rainfall, temperature and number of hospital visits for non-cholera diarrhoea were analysed by time-series regression. A Poisson regression model was used to model the relationships controlling for seasonally varying factors other than the weather variables. Modifications of weather effects were investigated by fitting the models separately to incidence series according to their characteristics (sex, age, socio-economic, hygiene and sanitation status). RESULTS: The number of non-cholera diarrhoea cases per week increased by 5.1% (95% CI: 3.3-6.8) for every 10 mm increase above the threshold of 52 mm of average rainfall over lags 0-8 weeks. The number of cases also increased by 3.9% (95% CI: 0.6-7.2) for every 10 mm decrease below the same threshold of rainfall. Ambient temperature was also positively associated with the number of non-cholera diarrhoea cases. There was no evidence for the modification of both 'high and low rainfall' effects by individual characteristics, while the effect of temperature was higher amongst those individuals at a lower educational attainment and unsanitary toilet users. CONCLUSIONS: The number of non-cholera diarrhoea cases increased both above and below a threshold level with high and low rainfall in the preceding weeks. The number of cases also increased with higher temperature, particularly in those individuals at a lower socio-economic and sanitation status. | |||||
書誌情報 |
International journal of epidemiology 巻 36, 号 5, p. 1030-1037, 発行日 2007-10 |
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出版者 | ||||||
出版者 | Oxford University Press | |||||
ISSN | ||||||
収録物識別子タイプ | ISSN | |||||
収録物識別子 | 03005771 | |||||
書誌レコードID | ||||||
収録物識別子タイプ | NCID | |||||
収録物識別子 | AA00680294 | |||||
PubMed番号 | ||||||
関連タイプ | isIdenticalTo | |||||
識別子タイプ | PMID | |||||
関連識別子 | 17664224 | |||||
DOI | ||||||
関連タイプ | isIdenticalTo | |||||
識別子タイプ | DOI | |||||
関連識別子 | 10.1093/ije/dym148 | |||||
権利 | ||||||
権利情報 | Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the International Epidemiological Association. (c) The Author 2007; all rights reserved. | |||||
権利 | ||||||
権利情報 | The online version of this article has been published under an open access model. Users are entitled to use, reproduce, disseminate, or display the open access version of this article for non-commercial purposes provided that: the original authorship is properly and fully attributed; the Journal and Oxford University Press are attributed as the original place of publication with the correct citation details given; if an article is subsequently reproduced or disseminated not in its entirety but only in part or as a derivative work this must be clearly indicated. For commercial re-use, please contact journals.permissions@oxfordjournals.org | |||||
著者版フラグ | ||||||
出版タイプ | VoR | |||||
出版タイプResource | http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85 | |||||
引用 | ||||||
内容記述タイプ | Other | |||||
内容記述 | International journal of epidemiology, 36(5). pp.1030-1037: 2007 |