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  1. 125 熱帯医学・グローバルヘルス研究科 = School of Tropical Medicine and Global Health
  2. 125 学術雑誌論文 = Articles in academic journal

Air Temperature and Gastroenteritis Among Rohingya Populations in Bangladesh Refugee Camps

http://hdl.handle.net/10069/0002002165
http://hdl.handle.net/10069/0002002165
017859bc-dfde-4ddf-92cd-7356455ae764
名前 / ファイル ライセンス アクション
JAMANO8_e255768.pdf JAMANO8_e255768.pdf (1.7 MB)
アイテムタイプ 学術雑誌論文 / Journal Article(1)
公開日 2025-05-08
タイトル
タイトル Air Temperature and Gastroenteritis Among Rohingya Populations in Bangladesh Refugee Camps
言語 en
言語
言語 eng
資源タイプ
資源タイプ識別子 http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
資源タイプ journal article
著者 Takata, Takuya

× Takata, Takuya

en Takata, Takuya

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Seposo, Xerxes

× Seposo, Xerxes

en Seposo, Xerxes

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Hossain, Nasif

× Hossain, Nasif

en Hossain, Nasif

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Ueda, Kayo

× Ueda, Kayo

en Ueda, Kayo

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抄録
内容記述タイプ Abstract
内容記述 Importance: The Rohingya displaced population in Bangladesh is the largest stateless population in the world. Infectious diseases, such as gastroenteritis, respiratory infections, and fever, are among the major health problems the Rohingya population has faced. Although associations between gastroenteritis and air temperature have been reported in various regions, no study has yet been carried out among the displaced populations. Objectives: To evaluate the association between air temperature and risk of gastroenteritis among the forcibly displaced Rohingya population in refugee camps in Bangladesh. Design, Setting, and Participants In this cross-sectional study, daily time series data derived from facility-based case reports were collected in 2 clinics organized by the UNHCR (United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees) in Kutupalong and Nayapara registered camps from January 1, 2019, to December 31, 2021. Statistical analysis was conducted from April 2023 to September 2024. Exposure: Hourly 2-m air temperature from ERA5-Land by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. Main Outcomes and Measures The daily number of gastroenteritis cases recorded in the camp clinics was the main outcome measure. Nonlinear lagged associations between daily temperature and gastroenteritis cases were modeled using a quasi-Poisson generalized linear model to account for overdispersion coupled with a distributed lag nonlinear model including a maximum 21-day lag. Covariates from the literature were adjusted in the model. Results: A total of 33 280 gastroenteritis cases (95% among individuals aged ≥5 years; 71% female) were recorded in Kutupalong and 31 165 gastroenteritis cases (99% among individuals aged ≥5 years; 67% female) were recorded in Nayapara. Further examination revealed a potential U-shaped curve in Kutupalong with minimum risk temperature (MRT) set at 26 °C. Cumulative relative risk (RR) at the 10th percentile temperature (21.1 °C) was 2.31 (95% CI, 1.18-4.65), while RR at 90th percentile temperature (28.5 °C) was 1.78 (95% CI, 1.24-2.56) relative to MRT. In Nayapara, a nearly linear risk increase was observed with decreasing temperature. Cumulative RR at the 10th percentile temperature (21 °C) was 1.32 (95% CI, 0.78-2.24), while the RR at the 90th percentile temperature (28.3 °C) was 0.75 (95% CI, 0.56-0.99). Lagged effects were delayed in nature. In Kutupalong, cold temperatures (10th percentile) were associated with statistically significant gastroenteritis risks at approximately 15 to 20 days (range: RR, 1.06 [95% CI, 1.00-1.13] to RR, 1.10 [95% CI, 1.00-1.21]). In Nayapara, gastroenteritis risks were correspondingly higher at longer lags (lag, 18 days; RR, 1.05 [95% CI, 1.00-1.10]). Conclusions and Relevance In this cross-sectional study of the Rohingya displaced population in Bangladesh, cold temperatures were associated with an increase in the risk of gastroenteritis. It is important to understand the association of climatic factors with the health of displaced communities, whose population is expected to grow in the future.
言語 en
書誌情報 en : JAMA Network Open

巻 8, 号 4, p. art. no. e255768, 発行日 2025-04-18
出版者
出版者 American Medical Association
言語 en
ISSN
収録物識別子タイプ ISSN
収録物識別子 2574-3805
DOI
関連タイプ isIdenticalTo
識別子タイプ DOI
関連識別子 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2025.5768
権利
権利情報 This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the CC-BY License. © 2025 Takata T et al.
言語 en
著者版フラグ
出版タイプ VoR
出版タイプResource http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
引用
内容記述タイプ Other
内容記述 JAMA Network Open, 8(4), art. no. e255768; 2025
言語 en
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