| アイテムタイプ |
学術雑誌論文 / Journal Article(1) |
| 公開日 |
2025-12-18 |
| タイトル |
|
|
タイトル |
Dynamic Landscape of Mpox Importation Risks Driven by Heavy-Tailed Sexual Contact Networks Among Men Who Have Sex With Men in 2022 |
|
言語 |
en |
| 言語 |
|
|
言語 |
eng |
| キーワード |
|
|
言語 |
en |
|
主題Scheme |
Other |
|
主題 |
mpox |
| キーワード |
|
|
言語 |
en |
|
主題Scheme |
Other |
|
主題 |
importation risk |
| キーワード |
|
|
言語 |
en |
|
主題Scheme |
Other |
|
主題 |
global spread |
| キーワード |
|
|
言語 |
en |
|
主題Scheme |
Other |
|
主題 |
sexual contact networks |
| キーワード |
|
|
言語 |
en |
|
主題Scheme |
Other |
|
主題 |
depletion of susceptible |
| 資源タイプ |
|
|
資源タイプ識別子 |
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 |
|
資源タイプ |
journal article |
| 著者 |
Jung, Sung-mok
Miura, Fuminari
Murayama, Hiroaki
Funk, Sebastian
Wallinga, Jacco
Lessler, Justin
Endo, Akira
|
| 抄録 |
|
|
内容記述タイプ |
Abstract |
|
内容記述 |
Background: During the 2022 global mpox outbreak, the cumulative number of countries reporting their first imported case quickly rose in the early phase, but the importation rate subsequently slowed down, leaving many countries reporting no cases by the 2022 year-end. Methods: We developed a mathematical model of international dissemination of mpox infections incorporating sexual networks and global mobility data. We used this model to characterize the mpox importation patterns observed in 2022 and to discuss the potential of further international spread. Results: Our proposed model better explained the observed importation patterns than models not assuming heterogeneity in sexual contacts. Estimated importation hazards decreased in most countries, surpassing the global case count decline, suggesting a reduced per-case risk of importation. We assessed each country's potential to export mpox cases until the end of an epidemic, identifying countries capable of contributing to the future international spread. Conclusions: The accumulation of immunity among high-risk individuals over highly heterogeneous sexual networks may have contributed to the slowdown in the rate of mpox importations. Nevertheless, the existence of countries with the potential to contribute to the global spread of mpox highlights the importance of equitable resource access to prevent the global resurgence of mpox. |
|
言語 |
en |
| 書誌情報 |
en : The Journal of Infectious Diseases
巻 231,
号 1,
p. e234-e243,
発行日 2024-08-28
|
| 出版者 |
|
|
出版者 |
Oxford University Press |
|
言語 |
en |
| ISSN |
|
|
収録物識別子タイプ |
ISSN |
|
収録物識別子 |
0022-1899 |
| DOI |
|
|
関連タイプ |
isIdenticalTo |
|
|
識別子タイプ |
DOI |
|
|
関連識別子 |
https://doi.org/10.1093/infdis/jiae433 |
| 権利 |
|
|
権利情報 |
© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Infectious Diseases Society of America. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted reuse, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. https://doi.org/10.1093/infdis/jiae433 |
|
言語 |
en |
| 著者版フラグ |
|
|
出版タイプ |
VoR |
|
出版タイプResource |
http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85 |
| 引用 |
|
|
内容記述タイプ |
Other |
|
内容記述 |
Journal of Infectious Diseases, 231(1), pp.e234-e243; 2024 |
|
言語 |
en |
JID231_e234.pdf (994 KB)
