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  1. 125 熱帯医学・グローバルヘルス研究科 = School of Tropical Medicine and Global Health
  2. 125 学術雑誌論文 = Articles in academic journal

Age-specific chikungunya outbreak response immunisation strategies in Brazil: a modelling study

http://hdl.handle.net/10069/0002003586
http://hdl.handle.net/10069/0002003586
9de67f08-0dfe-43cf-bef2-9c057f4bc586
名前 / ファイル ライセンス アクション
ECM90_103690.pdf ECM90_103690.pdf (1.3 MB)
アイテムタイプ 学術雑誌論文 / Journal Article(1)
公開日 2026-01-09
タイトル
タイトル Age-specific chikungunya outbreak response immunisation strategies in Brazil: a modelling study
言語 en
言語
言語 eng
キーワード
言語 en
主題Scheme Other
主題 Chikungunya
キーワード
言語 en
主題Scheme Other
主題 Outbreak response immunisation
キーワード
言語 en
主題Scheme Other
主題 Vaccine impact modelling
キーワード
言語 en
主題Scheme Other
主題 Age-specific vaccination
資源タイプ
資源タイプ識別子 http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
資源タイプ journal article
著者 Kang, Hyolim

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en Kang, Hyolim

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Lim, Ahyoung

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en Lim, Ahyoung

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Clark, Andrew

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en Clark, Andrew

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Colón, González Felipe J.

× Colón, González Felipe J.

en Colón, González Felipe J.

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Clapham, Hannah Eleanor

× Clapham, Hannah Eleanor

en Clapham, Hannah Eleanor

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Carrera, Jean-Paul

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en Carrera, Jean-Paul

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Kim, Jong-Hoon

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en Kim, Jong-Hoon

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Auzenbergs, Megan

× Auzenbergs, Megan

en Auzenbergs, Megan

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Lakshminarayanan, Preethi

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en Lakshminarayanan, Preethi

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López-Vergès, Sandra

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en López-Vergès, Sandra

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Sim, So Yoon

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en Sim, So Yoon

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Han, Su Myat

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en Han, Su Myat

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Cerqueira-Silva, Thiago

× Cerqueira-Silva, Thiago

en Cerqueira-Silva, Thiago

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Endy, Timothy

× Endy, Timothy

en Endy, Timothy

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Cucunubá, Zulma M.

× Cucunubá, Zulma M.

en Cucunubá, Zulma M.

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Edmunds, W John

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en Edmunds, W John

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Sahastrabuddhe, Sushant

× Sahastrabuddhe, Sushant

en Sahastrabuddhe, Sushant

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Brady, Oliver J.

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Abbas, Kaja

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抄録
内容記述タイプ Abstract
内容記述 Background:Two chikungunya vaccines, Ixchiq and Vimkunya are licensed. In April 2025, Brazil is the first endemic country to license Ixchiq, but optimal age groups for vaccination remain unclear. Our aim is to model the public health impact of age-specific chikungunya outbreak response immunisation strategies in Brazil and infer broader implications for vaccine use case scenarios in outbreak prone regions. Methods:We developed an age-structured transmission dynamic model calibrated with state-level Brazilian surveillance data for 2022 and long-term average annual force of infections. We simulated outbreak response immunisation strategies targeting ages 1–11, 12–17, 18–59, and ≥60 years for Ixchiq and Vimkunya across 11 out of 27 states in Brazil. We assessed vaccine impact by symptomatic cases, deaths, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) averted and number needed to vaccinate (NNV) based on vaccine protection against disease only and against both disease and infection. Findings: Ixchiq and Vimkunya showed similar vaccine impact. Across strategies, vaccinating children 1–11 years yielded the lowest NNV for both vaccines, whereas vaccinating adults 18–59 years achieved the greatest absolute reduction in symptomatic cases, averting 62.5% (95% Uncertainty Intervals [UI]: 54.2–84.1) of total symptomatic cases with Vimkunya and 66.2% (58.2–86.0) with Ixchiq, under disease and infection blocking mechanism. Vaccinating adults 18–59 years with Ixchiq or Vimkunya yielded similar efficiency, with NNVs to avert a DALY of 339 (39–3412) and 361 (40–3777) respectively, under disease and infection-blocking mechanism. Interpretation: Under current licensure, vaccinating adolescents aged 12–17 years first, followed by 18–59 years are efficient strategies, with similar NNVs for both Ixchiq and Vimkunya. If eligibility expands to younger populations, vaccinating 1–11-year age group will have relatively higher efficiency. Funding: International Vaccine Institute and Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development.
言語 en
書誌情報 en : eClinicalMedicine

巻 90, p. art. no. 103690, 発行日 2025-12-05
出版者
出版者 Elsevier Ltd
言語 en
ISSN
収録物識別子タイプ ISSN
収録物識別子 25895370
DOI
関連タイプ isIdenticalTo
識別子タイプ DOI
関連識別子 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eclinm.2025.103690
権利
権利情報 © 2025 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
言語 en
著者版フラグ
出版タイプ VoR
出版タイプResource http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
引用
内容記述タイプ Other
内容記述 eClinicalMedicine, 90, art. no. 103690; 2025
言語 en
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